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finance.system.systemic_fragility_search.v1

Overview

Verify that the Forge runtime executes the canonical Systemic Fragility Search Primitive Profile using the production Search execution pipeline.

After completing this example you should be able to:

  • execute the canonical profile
  • inspect the execution result
  • verify generated artifacts
  • validate deterministic replay
  • understand the execution contract

This document demonstrates executable capability verification rather than financial modelling theory.


Primitive Profile

PropertyValue
Primitivesearch@1
Profilefinance.system.systemic_fragility_search.v1
RuntimeCompute
ReplaySupported
ArtifactsSupported
DeterministicSupported
CPUSupported
GPUNot Required
ValidatorvalidateFinanceCapitalFragilitySearchArgs

Capability

finance.system.systemic_fragility_search.v1 searches a cross-domain financial scenario space to identify combinations of capital, liquidity, contagion, sovereign, insurance, governance and market stresses that produce the highest systemic fragility.

Unlike Monte Carlo profiles, which estimate outcome distributions, this Search profile explores bounded mutation spaces and ranks candidate scenarios according to a deterministic discovery objective.

The profile is designed to identify fragility boundaries rather than forecast future events.


Canonical Contract

Execution uses the canonical Forge Search execution contract.

text
Primitive
search

Version
1

Profile
finance.system.systemic_fragility_search.v1

Requests are validated before execution begins.


Required Inputs

The canonical validator requires:

  • iterations
  • base_scenario
  • mutation_rules
  • ranking
  • ranking.objective
  • ranking.top_n

Requests missing any required field are rejected before entering the execution runtime.


Optional Inputs

The implementation supports numerous optional scenario dimensions, including:

  • CET1 ratio
  • capital buffer
  • funding gap
  • liquidity buffer
  • deposit flight
  • wholesale funding rollover
  • sovereign spread stress
  • contagion intensity
  • graph failure probability
  • critical node stress
  • cascade depth
  • collateral deterioration
  • insurance capital stress
  • reinsurance recovery gap
  • climate transmission
  • governance pressure
  • evidence
  • scaling configuration

Only documented profile fields should be supplied.

Unsupported fields should never be introduced by clients or AI agents.


Canonical Smoke

The maintained Forge smoke verifies:

  • successful validation
  • successful execution
  • ranked candidate generation
  • deterministic seed handling
  • runtime metadata generation
  • replay metadata generation
  • artifact availability

The maintained Smoke Suite remains the canonical source for executable payloads.

This document intentionally avoids duplicating maintained requests.


Verification Expectations

A successful execution should demonstrate:

  • canonical validation succeeds
  • mutation rules are accepted
  • ranking objective is accepted
  • candidate discovery completes successfully
  • ranked candidates are returned
  • runtime evidence is produced
  • replay metadata is available
  • execution artifacts are generated when requested

Verification should include replay after the initial execution.


Runtime Evidence

Successful execution exposes runtime evidence including:

  • execution identifier
  • primitive profile
  • execution metadata
  • ranking objective
  • candidate count
  • ranked candidates
  • score distribution
  • mutation trace
  • replay metadata
  • artifact references

The exact evidence surface depends on execution policy.


Replay

Replay should preserve the documented deterministic behaviour when executed using the same canonical execution contract and deterministic seed.

Replay confirms the stability of the discovery process rather than infrastructure identity.

Replay verification is described in:

/verification/replay-determinism


Artifacts

Typical execution artifacts include:

  • ranked candidate list
  • execution summary
  • mutation trace
  • score distribution
  • replay metadata

Additional artifacts may become available as the profile evolves.


Applied Intelligence Modules

This Primitive Profile is reused across multiple Forge Intelligence Modules, including:

  • Systemic Risk Intelligence
  • Capital Intelligence
  • Banking Intelligence
  • Treasury Intelligence
  • Insurance Intelligence
  • Reinsurance Intelligence
  • Climate Intelligence

The computational contract remains identical regardless of the consuming Intelligence Module.


Related Documentation


Verification Checklist

Verification SurfaceStatus
Primitive resolved
Contract validated
Execution completed
Runtime inspected
Artifacts inspected
Replay verified
Negative validation tested

Final Principle

finance.system.systemic_fragility_search.v1 verifies a versioned Search Primitive Profile rather than a financial hypothesis.

Its behaviour is independently verifiable through canonical validation, deterministic execution, runtime evidence, replay, and artifact inspection, allowing evaluators to reproduce the same discovery workflow without relying on implementation details.


Continue in Forge Studio

This document describes the canonical execution contract for this capability.

The Forge documentation explains how this capability works.

Forge Studio allows you to inspect, execute, and verify the live implementation.

Capability Explorer

Browse the live capability catalog, supported execution surfaces, available Primitive Profiles, and execution metadata.

https://studio.forgepool.io/capability-explorer

Block Registry

Inspect the registered Primitive Profile, execution contract, block metadata, adapters, versions, and runtime characteristics.

https://studio.forgepool.io/studio/blocks-registry

Execute

Execute this capability using Forge Studio, the Execution API, or an MCP-compatible client.

Verify

Before interpreting the result, inspect:

  • runtime evidence
  • generated artifacts
  • deterministic replay
  • execution metadata

Trust should be established through independent verification rather than documentation alone.

Deterministic execution infrastructure for distributed compute.